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[Easy language] nCoV Novel Coronavirus Pneumonia Epidemic Simulation

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Posted on 3/9/2020 6:09:12 PM | | | |





R0: The basic number of infections, the model assumes that each pathogen will infect R0 people nearby

Mean number (days): incubation = 5.2, visit = 9.8, admission = 14.3, ICU = 17.8, death = 20.8

Assuming that the hospital isolation efficiency is 100%, the average number of days of recovery is close to the average number of days of death

There is an average immunity period of more than 6 months after recovery, which is considered infinite


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